WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Wednesday, 25.04.2018 18:00
 
Tonight

Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Cloudy
Cloudy
Sunday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
<2 mm. <5 mm. 10 mm. <2 mm. <2 mm. <2 mm. <2 mm. 10 mm.
Low: 6° High: 15° Low: 6° High: 13° Low: 2° High: 15° Low: 5° High: 11° Low: 4°



























 


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Forecast blank? Force Update

WeatherUnderground :

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 04-25-18 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
04-25-18 14   16 6   6 14   15 6   7 12   12 6   3 13   15 6   6
04-24-18 14 18.4 15 8 8 10 14   15 6   5 13   14 5   6 12   11 6   4
04-23-18 17 17.3 18 10 11 10 16 18.4 17 8 8 6 14   15 6   4 13   14 4   3
04-22-18 13 25.7 22 6 8 6 12 17.3 17 4 11 8 8 18.4 17 2 8 9 6   16 4   5
04-21-18 20 21.9 21 13 10.6 12 22 25.7 23 8 8 8 16 17.3 17 11 11 10 16 18.4 17 9 8 6
04-20-18 25 26.9 23 9 8.3 8 19 21.9 21 12 10.6 12 19 25.7 24 8 8 7 16 17.3 17 11 11 11
04-19-18 25 27.9 24 12 9.8 11 24 26.9 25 10 8.3 9 19 21.9 23 13 10.6 12 19 25.7 22 8 8 7
04-18-18 22 24.4 22 11 7.6 9 24 27.9 24 12 9.8 10 23 26.9 26 11 8.3 11 18 21.9 23 11 10.6 10
04-17-18 17 21.5 20 9 7.9 8 20 24.4 23 11 7.6 9 22 27.9 25 12 9.8 10 21 26.9 24 8 8.3 7
04-16-18 14 16.9 16 8 7.8 8 18 21.5 20 9 7.9 8 21 24.4 22 11 7.6 9 23 27.9 25 12 9.8 10
04-15-18 15 17 18 7 7.1 7 14 16.9 16 7 7.8 8 17 21.5 19 8 7.9 8 20 24.4 22 11 7.6 9
04-14-18 7 18.6 5 15 8 18 7 17 7 16 7.1 16 7 16.9 7 14 7.8 17 7 21.5 7 17 7.9 20
04-13-18 13 6.5 15 6 10 6 17 18.6 19 7 8 6 15 17 15 8 7.1 8 15 16.9 17 7 7.8 8
04-12-18 14 10 13 7 6.5 6 14 6.5 16 7 10 5 17 18.6 19 8 8 8 17 17 19 9 7.1 10
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 4 5 8 11 1 8 7 9 3 7 5 9 3 5 7 8
% Succ 30.8   38.5 61.5   84.6 8.3   66.7 58.3   75.0 27.3   63.6 45.5   81.8 30.0   50.0 70.0   80.0
Ave Error 4.5   3.6 1.9   1.9 4.3   2.9 2.5   2.1 4.8   2.3 2.2   1.7 4.6   3.1 1.9   2.2
Net Error -2.8   -1.6 0.8   0.6 -3.0   -1.3 0.6   0.1 -4.8   -2.0 1.1   1.4 -4.6   -2.5 1.7   1.2
Std Dev 3.8   3.6 1.9   2.6 2.6   2.7 2.8   2.5 3.3   1.5 2.0   1.2 3.3   2.3 1.7   1.8

Afternoon

Updated: 04-25-18 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
04-25-18 6   6 14   15 6   6 12   13 4   2 13   15 6   5 10   11
04-24-18 8 8 6 14 17.5 15 6   5 14   15 6   7 13   13 6   4 14   16
04-23-18 10 11 10 14 18.4 15 9 8 9 14 17.5 16 6   5 13   14 4   4 13   14
04-22-18 7 8 9 17 17.3 19 10 11 10 15 18.4 17 8 8 5 14 17.5 15 6   5 13   14
04-21-18 12 10.6 13 22 25.7 23 7 8 7 17 17.3 18 10 11 9 16 18.4 18 10 8 10 15 17.5 16
04-20-18 9 8.3 11 20 21.9 23 13 10.6 13 22 25.7 23 8 8 7 17 17.3 18 11 11 10 16 18.4 17
04-19-18 12 9.8 12 26 26.9 26 10 8.3 9 20 21.9 23 13 10.6 13 21 25.7 23 8 8 6 15 17.3 18
04-18-18 11 7.6 11 26 27.9 25 12 9.8 11 24 26.9 25 11 8.3 9 19 21.9 22 11 10.6 11 21 25.7 25
04-17-18 9 7.9 10 21 24.4 23 11 7.6 10 24 27.9 25 12 9.8 10 22 26.9 25 9 8.3 10 18 21.9 21
04-16-18 8 7.8 8 18 21.5 20 9 7.9 8 20 24.4 23 11 7.6 9 22 27.9 25 12 9.8 10 21 26.9 24
04-15-18 7 7.1 6 14 16.9 15 8 7.8 8 17 21.5 19 9 7.9 8 19 24.4 22 11 7.6 10 23 27.9 25
04-14-18 7 8 6 15 17 17 7 7.1 6 14 16.9 17 8 7.8 8 17 21.5 20 8 7.9 8 19 24.4 22
04-12-18 6 6.5 6 14 18.6 14 7 8 5 17 17 19 8 7.1 7 16 16.9 17 8 7.8 7 16 21.5 18
04-11-18 8 7.1 7 15 10 13 7 6.5 7 16 18.6 15 7 8 6 17 17 19 8 7.1 7 17 16.9 17
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 11 8 5 7 9 9 3 8 7 9 3 7 8 9 1 6
% Succ 84.6   61.5 38.5   53.8 75.0   75.0 25.0   66.7 63.6   81.8 27.3   63.6 80.0   90.0 10.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.0   1.6 2.9   2.1 1.3   1.2 2.8   1.8 1.4   1.2 3.2   1.6 1.0   1.1 3.8   1.7
Net Error 0.5   0.6 -2.2   -1.2 0.8   0.2 -2.8   -1.2 1.0   -0.3 -3.2   -1.0 1.0   0.3 -3.7   -1.5
Std Dev 0.9   1.0 1.5   1.3 1.0   0.8 1.6   1.1 1.2   1.1 2.3   1.2 0.9   0.9 2.6   1.3