WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Saturday, 17.11.2018 12:00
 
This
afternoon
Clear
Clear
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Cloudy
Cloudy
Monday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Wednesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Wednesday
night
Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
<2 mm. <2 mm. 2 mm. 2 mm. 7 mm. <5 mm. 5 mm.
High: 12° Low: 4° High: 11° Low: 5° High: 9° Low: 4° High: 7° Low: 4° High: 6° Low: 4°






























 

WeatherUnderground : Springfield
Saturday Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night
Sunny Clear skies Sunny Partly cloudy Cloudy skies Considerable cloudiness Chance rain Rain Chance rain Chance rain
Sunny Clear skies Sunny Partly cloudy Cloudy skies Considerable cloudiness Chance rain Rain Chance rain Chance rain
11°C 6°C 10°C 6°C 8°C 4°C 6°C 3°C 6°C 3°C

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 11-16-18 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
11-16-18 11   14 6   5 11   12 6   5 11   11 6   5 8   9 4   4
11-13-18 13 13.5 13 8 9.1 7 14   15 8   6 16   16 8   6 14   16 7   6
11-12-18 13 13.6 14 7 7.3 7 13 13.5 13 8 9.1 7 14   14 8   5 16   16 8   7
11-10-18 13 13.3 14 9 6.2 9 13 13.6 13 8 7.3 7 13 13.5 14 7 9.1 7 13   14 8   7
11-09-18 13 12.8 14 9 7.7 8 13 13.3 14 8 6.2 9 13 13.6 14 8 7.3 7 13 13.5 14 8 9.1 9
11-08-18 13 13.9 12 6 5.4 6 14 12.8 13 10 7.7 8 13 13.3 14 8 6.2 8 13 13.6 13 8 7.3 8
11-06-18 16 14.3 15 11 3.8 11 13 13.9 15 5 5.4 5 13 12.8 14 7 7.7 8 13 13.3 14 9 6.2 9
11-02-18 11 14.8 11 2 6.5 3 12 14.3 13 7 3.8 6 13 13.9 14 8 5.4 7 15 12.8 16 9 7.7 9
10-31-18 12 11.7 11 8 1.6 7 12 14.8 13 1 6.5 2 11 14.3 11 4 3.8 4 13 13.9 14 9 5.4 7
10-30-18 9 8.9 9 0 -0.4 1 12 11.7 12 8 1.6 8 11 14.8 14 2 6.5 4 11 14.3 11 7 3.8 4
10-29-18 9 10.6 9 4 4.3 4 9 8.9 10 1 -0.4 2 13 11.7 12 7 1.6 5 11 14.8 13 6 6.5 4
10-28-18 9 11.1 11 2 2.3 2 9 10.6 10 4 4.3 4 9 8.9 10 3 -0.4 2 12 11.7 12 6 1.6 5
10-27-18 8 8.5 10 4 3.7 4 9 11.1 10 2 2.3 2 9 10.6 10 4 4.3 6 9 8.9 9 4 -0.4 4
10-26-18 11 12.4 13 2 2.6 4 8 8.5 9 4 3.7 6 10 11.1 11 3 2.3 3 9 10.6 10 4 4.3 6
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 11 12 9 8 9 12 8 5 9 10 6 7 7 8 5 6
% Succ 84.6   92.3 69.2   61.5 75.0   100.0 66.7   41.7 81.8   90.9 54.5   63.6 70.0   80.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.1   1.1 2.0   2.0 1.1   0.8 2.0   2.0 1.2   0.8 2.0   1.5 1.4   1.1 2.2   1.9
Net Error -0.7   -0.3 0.9   1.0 -0.8   -0.2 0.7   0.7 -1.0   -0.0 0.7   0.7 -0.8   -0.1 1.9   1.4
Std Dev 1.0   1.0 2.4   2.2 0.9   0.5 2.0   2.0 1.3   0.9 1.8   1.2 1.2   1.3 1.7   1.5

Afternoon

Updated: 11-12-18 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
11-12-18 7   7 13   13 8   7 14   14 8   6 16   16 8   6 14   16
11-11-18 6 6.2 7 13 13.6 14 7   7 13   13 8   7 14   14 7   5 16   16
11-10-18 8 7.3 9 12 13.3 13 8 6.2 8 13 13.6 14 7   6 13   14 8   7 14   15
11-09-18 9 7.7 8 13 13.7 14 9 7.3 9 13 13.3 14 8 6.2 8 12 13.6 14 7   7 13   14
11-05-18 8 5.4 9 17 12.8 17 10 7.7 11 13 13.7 14 4 7.3 6 13 13.3 13 7 6.2 7 13 13.6 14
10-31-18 9 6.9 8 11 14.8 12 1 5.4 2 11 12.8 11 2 7.7 4 13 13.7 14 8 7.3 7 13 13.3 14
10-30-18 0 -0.4 1 13 13.3 13 8 6.9 8 12 14.8 14 3 5.4 2 11 12.8 11 5 7.7 4 14 13.7 14
10-29-18 3 4.3 5 9 8.9 10 1 -0.4 1 13 13.3 13 8 6.9 7 11 14.8 13 3 5.4 3 12 12.8 11
10-28-18 2 2.3 1 9 10.6 9 4 4.3 4 9 8.9 10 2 -0.4 2 12 13.3 12 7 6.9 6 11 14.8 13
10-27-18 3 3.7 4 9 11.1 10 2 2.3 2 9 10.6 9 4 4.3 6 9 8.9 9 4 -0.4 4 12 13.3 11
10-25-18 7 2.6 9 10 8.5 12 2 3.7 3 8 11.1 9 5 2.3 5 10 10.6 11 3 4.3 4 9 8.9 11
10-24-18 6 5.5 5 14 16.4 16 7 2.6 7 10 8.5 12 2 3.7 2 8 11.1 9 5 2.3 3 10 10.6 11
10-23-18 9 10.7 8 17 18.7 18 6 5.5 6 13 16.4 16 6 2.6 8 11 8.5 12 3 3.7 4 8 11.1 8
10-21-18 5 5.4 8 13 15.8 14 6 10.7 7 16 18.7 17 9 5.5 8 16 16.4 18 5 2.6 5 14 8.5 15
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 10 9 8 10 8 8 8 10 4 5 8 9 5 6 7 6
% Succ 76.9   69.2 61.5   76.9 66.7   66.7 66.7   83.3 36.4   45.5 72.7   81.8 50.0   60.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.3   1.8 1.8   1.4 2.1   1.9 1.6   1.2 2.6   2.4 1.5   1.2 1.8   1.6 1.6   1.9
Net Error 0.6   1.1 -0.9   0.0 0.2   0.5 -1.3   -0.2 0.1   0.6 -1.0   -0.1 0.4   0.1 -0.5   0.1
Std Dev 1.2   1.7 1.3   1.3 1.5   1.4 1.2   1.0 1.9   1.6 1.2   0.9 1.6   1.6 1.4   1.5