WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Thursday, 22.02.2018 18:00
 
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday
night
Clear
Clear
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
Saturday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Snow
Snow
Monday
night
Snow
Snow
<2 mm. 2 mm.
1 cm.
Low: 0° High: 6° Low: 0° High: 7° Low: 0° High: 5° Low: -1° High: 3° Low: -1°



























 

WeatherUnderground : Springfield
Friday Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
Partly cloudy skies Partly cloudy A mainly sunny sky Partly cloudy A mainly sunny sky
Partly cloudy skies Partly cloudy A mainly sunny sky Partly cloudy A mainly sunny sky
4°C -2°C 4°C -1°C 3°C
         
Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy Overcast Cloudy Mostly cloudy Partly cloudy skies
Mostly cloudy Overcast Cloudy Mostly cloudy Partly cloudy skies
-2°C 2°C -3°C 2°C -4°C
         

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 02-22-18 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
02-22-18 4   7 -1   0 4   6 -2   0 4   6 -1   0 2   4 -2   -1
02-21-18 7 6.7 7 1 0.9 1 5   7 -1   1 4   6 -2   0 4   7 -1   0
02-20-18 7 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 9 2 0.9 1 5   7 -1   1 4   7 -1   1
02-19-18 9 10.2 10 7 6.5 8 8 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 8 0 0.9 1 6   8 -2   1
02-18-18 11 12.1 11 4 5.5 6 9 10.2 12 7 6.5 7 8 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3 6 6.7 9 -1 0.9 2
02-17-18 10 10.9 10 1 -0.9 2 11 12.1 11 6 5.5 8 10 10.2 12 4 6.5 7 7 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3
02-16-18 10 10.6 11 0 -0.9 2 10 10.9 11 2 -0.9 2 9 12.1 9 6 5.5 8 9 10.2 12 3 6.5 8
02-15-18 9 11.3 10 -1 -0.3 0 9 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 10 10.9 11 2 -0.9 2 9 12.1 12 3 5.5 7
02-14-18 8 6.8 9 5 4.9 7 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 10 3 -0.9 1
02-13-18 5 6.1 6 -1 2.7 -1 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 10 0 -0.9 1
02-12-18 7 8.6 7 1 0.4 2 4 6.1 7 -2 2.7 0 6 6.8 8 5 4.9 4 10 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0
02-10-18 8 8.2 9 3 -0.9 6 6 8.6 7 -1 0.4 0 7 6.1 7 1 2.7 1 5 6.8 7 -1 4.9 1
02-09-18 5 5.6 6 -2 -2.3 -1 8 8.2 9 3 -0.9 4 6 8.6 6 -1 0.4 0 7 6.1 7 1 2.7 1
02-08-18 8 7.9 8 3 4.8 4 6 5.6 5 -2 -2.3 -1 8 8.2 9 3 -0.9 4 6 8.6 7 -2 0.4 0
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 12 12 10 8 9 11 8 7 8 9 7 6 8 9 4 8
% Succ 92.3   92.3 76.9   61.5 75.0   91.7 66.7   58.3 72.7   81.8 63.6   54.5 80.0   90.0 40.0   80.0
Ave Error 1.0   0.7 1.4   2.0 1.1   1.1 1.7   1.7 1.1   1.4 1.7   1.9 1.4   1.1 2.6   1.8
Net Error -0.7   -0.1 0.2   1.3 -1.0   0.2 0.7   1.2 -0.9   -0.0 0.5   1.3 -1.2   0.2 -1.0   0.6
Std Dev 0.6   0.6 1.3   1.8 0.9   0.7 1.4   1.3 1.0   1.0 1.3   1.5 1.2   0.9 1.8   1.3

Afternoon

Updated: 02-22-18 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
02-22-18 -1   0 4   6 -2   0 4   7 -1   0 2   5 -2   -1 2   3
02-21-18 1 0.9 1 5 5.9 7 -1   1 4   7 -2   0 4   7 -1   0 2   4
02-20-18 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 8 1 0.9 2 5 5.9 7 -1   0 4   7 -2   0 4   7
02-19-18 6 6.5 6 12 8.7 8 4 -0.5 2 8 6.7 9 2 0.9 1 6 5.9 8 4   1 6   7
02-18-18 5 5.5 6 10 10.2 12 7 6.5 7 8 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 10 -1 0.9 2 6 5.9 8
02-17-18 1 -0.9 1 12 12.1 12 5 5.5 5 9 10.2 12 6 6.5 8 7 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3 6 6.7 8
02-16-18 6 -0.9 1 12 10.9 10 4 -0.9 2 8 12.1 10 2 5.5 7 6 10.2 13 4 6.5 6 6 8.7 9
02-15-18 1 -0.3 -1 9 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 11 2 -0.9 4 9 12.1 12 5 5.5 8 9 10.2 12
02-14-18 4 4.9 4 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 9 10.6 9 0 -0.9 1 10 10.9 10 3 -0.9 1 9 12.1 11
02-13-18 -1 2.7 0 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 9 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 9
02-12-18 2 0.4 2 4 6.1 7 -2 2.7 -1 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 9 -1 -0.3 0 9 10.6 10
02-11-18 -1 -0.9 -1 6 8.6 7 0 0.4 1 4 6.1 6 -2 2.7 -1 6 6.8 8 6 4.9 5 11 11.3 11
02-10-18 3 4 4 6 8.2 6 -1 -0.9 0 7 8.6 7 1 0.4 2 5 6.1 6 -1 2.7 0 7 6.8 7
02-09-18 -3 -2.3 -1 8 7.7 9 3 4 4 6 8.2 6 -1 -0.9 -1 7 8.6 7 1 0.4 1 5 6.1 8
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 10 12 8 12 9 8 8 9 7 9 8 7 6 6 8 9
% Succ 76.9   92.3 61.5   92.3 75.0   66.7 66.7   75.0 63.6   81.8 72.7   63.6 60.0   60.0 80.0   90.0
Ave Error 1.7   1.1 1.3   1.2 1.6   1.3 1.5   1.3 1.6   1.6 1.5   1.6 1.9   1.6 1.1   1.2
Net Error 0.5   0.3 -0.5   0.0 0.5   0.6 -1.3   -0.2 -0.0   0.9 -1.4   0.4 0.1   1.0 -1.0   0.4
Std Dev 1.8   0.9 1.1   0.6 1.9   1.3 1.2   0.9 1.3   1.5 1.4   1.2 1.5   1.3 1.2   0.9