WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Thursday, 20.09.2018 18:00
 
Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Sunday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Sunday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
Monday
night
Clear
Clear
5 mm. <2 mm. <2 mm. 10 mm. 7 mm. <2 mm.
Low: 10° High: 17° Low: 9° High: 17° Low: 11° High: 19° Low: 7° High: 16° Low: 6°



























 


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Forecast blank? Force Update

WeatherUnderground :

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 09-20-18 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
09-20-18 21   22 10   11 17   17 10   9 16   15 11   10 16   19 6   6
09-19-18 21 24.4 23 15 16.7 15 21   23 11   10 16   17 8   7 16   18 11   10
09-18-18 23 24.1 24 16 16 16 22 24.4 22 14 16.7 14 21   22 9   10 17   17 8   8
09-17-18 24 28.7 27 17 14.4 17 23 24.1 25 16 16 16 22 24.4 24 14 16.7 10 21   24 10   10
09-16-18 22 26.7 24 15 15.6 15 24 28.7 25 17 14.4 15 23 24.1 24 15 16 14 22 24.4 23 13 16.7 12
09-15-18 20 24.8 22 12 12.3 12 23 26.7 24 14 15.6 14 23 28.7 25 17 14.4 16 23 24.1 26 14 16 12
09-14-18 18 20.9 21 9 9.8 10 21 24.8 21 12 12.3 12 23 26.7 24 13 15.6 13 23 28.7 25 15 14.4 15
09-13-18 19 23.9 19 8 10.9 8 18 20.9 19 9 9.8 8 20 24.8 21 12 12.3 12 22 26.7 24 13 15.6 14
09-12-18 17 16 18 8 5.8 9 19 23.9 21 8 10.9 7 18 20.9 20 9 9.8 9 20 24.8 22 12 12.3 11
09-10-18 21 24.7 23 14 11.9 14 23 16 25 13 5.8 13 14 23.9 17 8 10.9 8 19 20.9 21 8 9.8 8
09-09-18 23 25.6 24 11 13.4 11 21 24.7 22 14 11.9 13 24 16 26 14 5.8 14 18 23.9 17 10 10.9 11
09-08-18 19 22.4 20 13 13.3 13 22 25.6 24 11 13.4 12 21 24.7 22 13 11.9 13 24 16 24 13 5.8 12
09-07-18 18 21.3 19 9 7.9 8 19 22.4 21 13 13.3 12 22 25.6 23 11 13.4 12 22 24.7 24 14 11.9 14
09-06-18 21 23.9 24 8 8.3 9 18 21.3 20 9 7.9 8 19 22.4 21 13 13.3 11 21 25.6 23 11 13.4 11
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 2 8 8 8 1 5 6 9 1 4 5 6 2 4 5 5
% Succ 15.4   61.5 61.5   61.5 8.3   41.7 50.0   75.0 9.1   36.4 45.5   54.5 20.0   40.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.3   1.8 1.3   1.3 3.7   2.9 2.0   1.8 4.5   3.2 2.3   2.7 4.2   3.1 2.4   2.5
Net Error -3.2   -1.5 -0.1   0.1 -2.5   -1.2 0.2   -0.3 -3.0   -1.4 -0.1   -0.7 -2.6   -1.1 -0.4   -0.7
Std Dev 1.5   1.3 1.0   1.2 2.0   2.3 1.9   2.0 3.3   3.2 2.3   2.7 3.0   2.3 1.8   1.9

Afternoon

Updated: 09-19-18 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
09-19-18 16   15 21   21 9   11 17   18 9   9 16   16 11   10 17   19
09-18-18 16 16 16 22 24.4 23 15   15 22   23 11   12 15   16 8   8 16   18
09-17-18 16 14.4 17 23 24.1 24 15 16 15 22 24.4 22 14   13 21   24 9   10 17   18
09-15-18 12 15.6 14 22 28.7 25 15 14.4 14 24 24.1 25 17 16 15 24 24.4 25 15   12 22   23
09-14-18 9 9.8 9 20 24.8 21 12 15.6 12 22 28.7 24 14 14.4 13 24 24.1 24 17 16 15 23 24.4 26
09-13-18 8 10.9 10 18 20.9 20 9 9.8 9 21 24.8 21 11 15.6 11 22 28.7 24 13 14.4 10 23 24.1 24
09-12-18 8 5.8 8 19 23.9 20 8 10.9 9 18 20.9 19 10 9.8 9 19 24.8 21 12 15.6 11 22 28.7 22
09-11-18 13 11.9 14 17 16 19 7 5.8 8 19 23.9 21 8 10.9 7 18 20.9 20 9 9.8 9 21 24.8 22
09-09-18 11 13.4 12 21 24.7 23 14 11.9 13 23 16 25 14 5.8 14 16 23.9 18 9 10.9 11 18 20.9 19
09-08-18 13 13.3 14 22 25.6 23 11 13.4 10 21 24.7 22 13 11.9 13 24 16 26 13 5.8 13 19 23.9 24
09-06-18 7 7.9 9 18 22.4 19 9 13.3 8 19 25.6 21 13 13.4 10 22 24.7 22 11 11.9 11 22 16 24
09-05-18 12 12.8 10 20 23.9 22 8 7.9 9 18 22.4 20 9 13.3 8 18 25.6 21 12 13.4 13 21 24.7 23
09-03-18 11 13.3 12 22 19.1 24 13 12.8 13 20 23.9 20 10 7.9 10 18 22.4 19 8 13.3 8 18 25.6 20
09-02-18 9 9 11 23 25.9 25 12 13.3 12 22 19.1 24 12 12.8 13 19 23.9 20 10 7.9 9 18 22.4 19
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 8 9 2 6 7 8 1 2 6 5 2 3 6 6 2 5
% Succ 61.5   69.2 15.4   46.2 58.3   66.7 8.3   16.7 54.5   45.5 18.2   27.3 60.0   60.0 20.0   50.0
Ave Error 1.5   1.5 3.5   2.5 1.7   1.9 4.1   3.7 2.4   2.9 4.7   3.7 2.6   2.6 4.3   3.2
Net Error -0.7   0.1 -2.9   -1.3 -1.0   -1.1 -2.5   -1.2 -0.1   -0.8 -3.2   -1.8 -0.5   -0.9 -3.1   -1.3
Std Dev 1.1   0.9 1.8   1.5 1.4   1.6 2.5   2.5 2.6   2.5 3.5   3.3 2.4   2.6 3.1   2.8